Many of us have long considered the effects climate change is having upon
our fragile planet and the beloved community. However, the following article
puts our reflection in an entirely new
light. While somewhat lengthy, we thought it important to bring it to you
in its entirety.
PENTAGON
TELLS BUSH: CLIMATE CHANGE WILL DESTROY US
- Secret report warns of rioting and nuclear war
- Britain will be 'Siberian' in less than 20 years
- Threat to the world is greater than terrorism
by Mark Townsend and Paul Harris in New York, The Observer, 2/22/2004
Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe
costing millions of
lives in wars and natural disasters..
A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer,
warns that
major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged
into a 'Siberian'
climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread
rioting will erupt
across the world.
The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet
to the edge of anarchy
as countries develop a nuclear threat to defend and secure dwindling food,
water and energy
supplies. The threat to global stability vastly eclipses that of terrorism,
say the few experts privy
to its contents.
'Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life,' concludes
the Pentagon analysis. 'Once
again, warfare would define human life.'
The findings will prove humiliating to the Bush administration, which has
repeatedly denied that
climate change even exists. Experts said that they will also make unsettling
reading for a
President who has insisted national defence is a priority.
The report was commissioned by influential Pentagon defence adviser Andrew
Marshall, who
has held considerable sway on US military thinking over the past three decades.
He was the man
behind a sweeping recent review aimed at transforming the American military
under Defence
Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.
Climate change 'should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a US national
security concern',
say the authors, Peter Schwartz, CIA consultant and former head of planning
at Royal
Dutch/Shell Group, and Doug Randall of the California-based Global Business
Network.
An imminent scenario of catastrophic climate change is 'plausible and would
challenge United
States national security in ways that should be considered immediately',
they conclude. As early
as next year widespread flooding by a rise in sea levels will create major
upheaval for millions.
Last week the Bush administration came under heavy fire from a large body
of respected
scientists who claimed that it cherry-picked science to suit its policy
agenda and suppressed
studies that it did not like. Jeremy Symons, a former whistleblower at the
Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), said that suppression of the report for four months
was a further
example of the White House trying to bury the threat of climate change.
Senior climatologists, however, believe that their verdicts could prove
the catalyst in forcing
Bush to accept climate change as a real and happening phenomenon. They also
hope it will
convince the United States to sign up to global treaties to reduce the rate
of climatic change.
A group of eminent UK scientists recently visited the White House to voice
their fears over
global warming, part of an intensifying drive to get the US to treat the
issue seriously. Sources
have told The Observer that American officials appeared extremely sensitive
about the issue
when faced with complaints that America's public stance appeared increasingly
out of touch.
One even alleged that the White House had written to complain about some
of the comments
attributed to Professor Sir David King, Tony Blair's chief scientific adviser,
after he branded the
President's position on the issue as indefensible.
Among those scientists present at the White House talks were Professor John
Schellnhuber,
former chief environmental adviser to the German government and head of
the UK's leading
group of climate scientists at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.
He said that the
Pentagon's internal fears should prove the 'tipping point' in persuading
Bush to accept climatic
change.
Sir John Houghton, former chief executive of the Meteorological Office -
and the first senior
figure to liken the threat of climate change to that of terrorism - said:
'If the Pentagon is sending
out that sort of message, then this is an important document indeed.'
Bob Watson, chief scientist for the World Bank and former chair of the Intergovernmental
Panel
on Climate Change, added that the Pentagon's dire warnings could no longer
be ignored.
'Can Bush ignore the Pentagon? It's going be hard to blow off this sort
of document. Its hugely
embarrassing. After all, Bush's single highest priority is national defence.
The Pentagon is no
wacko, liberal group, generally speaking it is conservative. If climate
change is a threat to
national security and the economy, then he has to act. There are two groups
the Bush
Administration tend to listen to, the oil lobby and the Pentagon,' added
Watson.
'You've got a President who says global warming is a hoax, and across the
Potomac river you've
got a Pentagon preparing for climate wars. It's pretty scary when Bush starts
to ignore his own
government on this issue,' said Rob Gueterbock of Greenpeace.
Already, according to Randall and Schwartz, the planet is carrying a higher
population than it
can sustain. By 2020 'catastrophic' shortages of water and energy supply
will become
increasingly harder to overcome, plunging the planet into war. They warn
that 8,200 years ago
climatic conditions brought widespread crop failure, famine, disease and
mass migration of
populations that could soon be repeated.
Randall told The Observer that the potential ramifications of rapid climate
change would create
global chaos. 'This is depressing stuff,' he said. 'It is a national security
threat that is unique
because there is no enemy to point your guns at and we have no control over
the threat.'
Randall added that it was already possibly too late to prevent a disaster
happening. 'We don't
know exactly where we are in the process. It could start tomorrow and we
would not know for
another five years,' he said.
'The consequences for some nations of the climate change are unbelievable.
It seems obvious
that cutting the use of fossil fuels would be worthwhile.'
So dramatic are the report's scenarios, Watson said, that they may prove
vital in the US elections.
Democratic frontrunner John Kerry is known to accept climate change as a
real problem.
Scientists disillusioned with Bush's stance are threatening to make sure
Kerry uses the Pentagon
report in his campaign.
The fact that Marshall is behind its scathing findings will aid Kerry's
cause. Marshall, 82, is a
Pentagon legend who heads a secretive think-tank dedicated to weighing risks
to national
security called the Office of Net Assessment. Dubbed 'Yoda' by Pentagon
insiders who respect
his vast experience, he is credited with being behind the Department of
Defence's push on
ballistic-missile defence.
Symons, who left the EPA in protest at political interference, said that
the suppression of the
report was a further instance of the White House trying to bury evidence
of climate change. 'It is
yet another example of why this government should stop burying its head
in the sand on this
issue.'
Symons said the Bush administration's close links to high-powered energy
and oil companies
was vital in understanding why climate change was received sceptically in
the Oval Office. 'This
administration is ignoring the evidence in order to placate a handful of
large energy and oil
companies,' he added.
Guardian Unlimited - Guardian Newspapers Limited 2000
http://www.guardian.co.uk/climatechange/story/0,12374,1153530,00.html
For More Info on Climate Change:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/climatechange
ACTIONS
1. Send this Bulletin to your elected representatives (if possible use the
FAX) and tell them you
want climate change placed at the top of their priority list.
2. Share this Bulletin widely with family, friends, coworkers and your faith
community.
3. Reflect upon your own lifestyle, especially as it relates to the consumption
of fossil fuels.
4. During this election year, consider who will help us face up to the scenario
described herein
and who will help us to respond in a life giving manner.
5. Write a letter to your local paper asking them to cover this issue in
some depth to help educate
the public.